Anthopoulos’ Blue Jays Horrendous vs AL East

Alex Anthopoulos led Jays continue to struggle against AL East opponents, four years into his tenure as GM.

Four year totals for the Toronto Blue Jays, against the East and against the rest of the MLB.

Jays Record Outside of AL EAST

182 – 174 , +8, .511 % 

Jays Record Against AL EAST

131 – 161, -30, .449 %

Yearly breakdown vs AL East Opponents:


Year East Wins East Losses Percentage
2010 39 33 0.541666667
2011 33 39 0.458333333
2012 29 43 0.402777778
2013 30 46 0.394736842
Total 131 161 0.448630137

 

We’re going backwards.

It’s not fair to put all –and some fanboys would say any– of the blame on Anthopoulos, but the fact remains that the Jays are holding their own against the rest of the MLB:

 


Year Rest MLB Wins Rest MLB Loss Percentage
2010 46 44 0.511111111
2011 48 42 0.533333333
2012 44 46 0.488888889
2013 44 42 0.511627907
Total 182 174 0.511235955

What’s the deal?

Is the problem roster construction, coaching, or just a fluke?

Let’s open this up to the comments section:

has written for mopupduty.com since 2006. Follow Matthias on Twitter, Facebook and Google +

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    tst

  • http://mopupduty.com/index.php/about-mop-up-duty/authors_matthias_koster/ Matthias Koster

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  • Nicholas Schneider

    A fluke? Have you thought about this at all? Over the last four seasons, the winning percentages of the other four AL East teams is .533 (2010), .535, .535 and .553 (2013). In that period there have been three teams with 89 or more wins, then three teams with 90 or more wins (twice in a row) and four teams with 85 or more wins. Isn’t it kind of obvious that winning teams win more often, and therefore their opponents (including their most frequent opponent, the Blue Jays) lose more often. So the Blue Jays won just 45% of their games against teams that won 54% of their games overall. That’s just about average performance, and that’s before taking into account that these teams played each other a lot, so there are a pile of games (54-57 per year for each team) where only one of them can win. The Blue Jays were just barely above average against other teams, winning 51% against teams that lost, I’m estimating, 49-49.5% of their games.
    If you look at the actual overall record of the two groups of teams, the Blue Jays did just about exactly as well against tham as all other teams did. Nothing to see here, move on.

    • http://www.matthiaskoster.com Matthias Koster

      Thanks for taking the time to comment Nicholas.

      I looked at the 2013 Jays. They were 30-46 (.395) vs the AL East, which, as you mentioned, is full of .500 + clubs. However, against other .500+ MLB teams the Jays were 21-22, only 1 game (.488) under. That’s a drastic difference and likely illustrates the difference between a .500+ AL East club and other winning clubs from outside the division.