Using CDD to Pick 2007 Playoff Winners
I didn’t want to make predictions for this years playoffs but here it goes.
According to my Comparative Dependence Differential stat
Colorado is 2% more likely to win the series than Philly
New York is 2% more likely to win the series than Cleveland
Boston is 4% more likely to win the series than Los Angeles
Chicago is 3% more likley to win the series than Arizona
This is based on one teams probability of playing .750 ball compared to the other team. Nothing really sensational here but I thought I would throw it out there anyways.
Sounds about right… One can analyze and analyze, but in the postseason, anything can happen. Each of the teams is good, and to win any given series, each only needs to win one more than the next team. There is a difference between team skills, but it’s not more than a few percent as you’ve shown.