The Silver Lining in the Indians Sweep

Jeremy Accardo

Jeremy Accardo

Let’s Make a Deal!

So the Jays have just been swept by the Central-division-basement-dwelling-poor-excuse-for-a-major-league-team Cleveland Indians and have lost 9 of their last 11 games.  This puts the Jays at .500 and 9 games back of the division lead.

On top of that we haven’t yet even approached the dog days of summer.  One can argue that it has been the young core of starting pitchers that has carried this Blue Jays team on its shoulders.  It is inevitable that they will all hit a wall when they begin to touch and exceed innings levels that their young arms have never seen before.  Shaun Marcum is just a year removed from Tommy John, Brandon Morrow is back to being a starter after pitching only 69 innings last season (a career high).

With delusions visions of contending for a wild card fading fast, it is time to unload everything not nailed down.  Here’s a list of the prime candidates.

John Buck

Believe it or not, John Buck is a Type B free agent.  For those teams lusting after catching, they could do far worse than John Buck – one of the few catchers with an OPS above .800.  Alex Anthopoulos could ask for the equivalent of a sandwich-round pick in a prospect in return to add depth to the minor league system.

For those worried about the catcher’s ability to handle a young pitching staff, Jose Molina and Raul Chavez are more than capable of picking up where Buck left off.  It will also give the Jays a chance to throw JP Arencibia’s wet noodle against the fridge to see if it sticks.

Alex Gonzalez

Gonzalez is enjoying a career rennaissance in Toronto, both with the glove and the bat.  Drop him while he’s hot.  His defence can be replaced by Johnny Mac to keep those fragile young pitcher psyches intact.

Jose Bautista

The 2nd Jay ever to be the first ever in the majors to reach 20HR (Jesse Barfield was the first), Bautista’s defensive versatility to go along with his potent bat should make him a desirable commodity.  With Travis Snider, the team’s regular right-fielder due to come off the DL after the all-star break, it is time to strike while the iron is hot.  Offensively challenged San Francisco would be a good fit, as would the LA Dodgers where Bautista would be an upgrade over Casey Blake.  Chicks aren’t the only ones who dig the long ball… General Managers do too.

Scott Downs, Jason Frasor, Kevin Gregg, Casey Janssen, Jesse Litsch, Brian Tallet

The market for relief pitchers is shaping up to be very, very weak according to Buster Olney.  That means the catastrophe of a bullpen that the Jays sport will be all that more attractive to teams searching for relief help.  Their value will never be higher.

Lyle Overbay

Despite epic struggles early on this season, Lyle Overbay is showing signs of life.  In the month of June Lyle has put up a line of .282/.376 with an OPS of .754 while maintaining stellar defense.  These numbers are more in line with his career norms and he would help a contending team down the stretch.  He could give the Braves some insurance against the oft-injured Troy Glaus and act as a platoon partner.  In Colorado, Overbay would be an upgrade on the broken down Todd Helton – both offensively and defensively.  With Buster Posey presumably moving to the catcher position in San Francisco, the Giants have a gaping hole at first base that Lyle could fill.

Not only will these trades serve to slash payroll and increase depth in the farm system, it also opens the door to backfill the positions with minor league prospects and journeymen.  Can Mike McCoy be an every day infielder next year as some sources around the team are speculating? Can JP Arencibia be more than a fringey major-league catcher?  Let’s find out.  While we’re at it, let’s bring back up Josh Roenicke, Brad Mills, Robert Ray and Mark Rzepczynski  and see what they’re made out of.  Now is the time to do it.

About the Author

Callum Hughson has written for Mopupduty.com since 2006. Follow Callum on Twitter and Facebook View all posts by Callum Hughson →

  • http://www.mopupduty.com Kman

    I like it.

    Sell high on players such as Buck & Batista. Clear out a few of the relievers. I’d hold onto Gonzalez for the short-term (with his cheap club option) unless a deal really blew my socks off.

    Here’s a question:

    If you do in-fact trade a few of these players what are you looking for?

    A) The best overall value
    B) Near MLB Ready players (AA, AAA or even MLB players)
    C) Younger Talent (A+ and down higher ceiling types)

    • Early

      I can’t see anyone giving up top level MiL talent for Bautista or Buck. After seeing what was got for Granderson or Texieria etc in trades in the last little while there is no way that the Jays can get anything other than a mid-level or older prospect. Regression to the norm.

      • http://www.twitter.com/callumhughson Callum Hughson

        Are you kidding me? Texeira was traded for Elvis Andrus (pretty much rookie of the year), Neftali Felix (super stud) and Salty (head case). Grandy is a harder trade to gauge since Edwin Jackson was also involved. Still brought back 3 studs in Austin Jackson, Max Scherzer and Daniel Schlereth. Not sure what you are looking for more than that? The difference in those two players and Buck/Bautista is that Grandy and Tex have to get PAIDDDDDDD.

        I don’t see what regression to the mean has to do with anything.

      • http://www.mopupduty.com Kman

        The M’s earned quite a bit for Lee. If the Jays can get a portion of that value by trading the AL leader in HR, by all means they should do so.

  • http://www.twitter.com/callumhughson Callum Hughson

    For me, the cheap club option only enhances his trade value. Will the Jays be contenders next year? Probably not, so it doesn’t really make any sense to have Alex around.

    I am looking for the best overall player in return, ideally young controllable talent. Since the guys that are being cleared out aren’t exactly blue-chip superstars, the value plays are most likely going to be in C) younger talent. Higher risk, but higher reward if they pay off.

    • http://www.mopupduty.com Kman

      Personally I’d keep Alex around unless something substantial is offered. McDonald is getting older and is a few years removed from his stellar defensive season. I’m not sold on McCoy as a starting SS and the minors offers little to nothing for the remainder of 10 and the start of 11.

      • Early

        Having Mark McCoy or John McDonald playing everyday is a disaster. They cannot hit. They have bad at bats. Weds night, runners at 2nd and 3rd, 2 out, Johnny Mac steps up. Takes two burners down the pipe from Slowey before eventually poping up. What is he looking for? What kind of plan does he have? Slowey is saying “you can’t hit me” and he proved him right.

        • http://www.twitter.com/callumhughson Callum Hughson

          The Jays can finish 4th with Alex Gonzalez playing SS or Johnny Mac. Might as well get something in return so they can finish above 4th a few years down the road.

          McCoy can hit fine – he’s got a .917 OPS at AAA. As for his MLB avg. of .200 this season, that’s in only 50 ABs. It is basically a Vernon Wells or Jose Bautista slump. Sample size!!!

          • http://www.mopupduty.com Matthias Koster

            To be fair McCoy hasn’t been a consistent milb producer. Last year was by far his best ever season.

            I’m not sure if he can handle the SS position from an offensive or defensive perspective.

          • http://www.twitter.com/callumhughson Callum Hughson

            McCoy has an OPS over .800 in each of the last 3 seasons, and a .788 season at Culiacan playing in the winter league. What more do you want?

  • http://www.twitter.com/callumhughson Callum Hughson

    A team like Detroit could use both John Buck and Alex Gonzalez as they cling to the top of the Central. The Tigers’ farm system is overflowing with power arms that the Jays could use to shore up their bullpen for the future.

  • http://www.mopupduty.com Kman

    Reply’s are all used up.

    Re: McCoy

    Let’s throw out 2010 and 66 AB as a .800+ OPS season due to only 16 games played. (We’ll throw out his 14/4 K/BB ratio in the MLB this year as well due to sample and varied playing time)

    He had his 2009 OPS of .805 as a 28 year old in AAA. 80 BB vs 70 K. I like. I don’t like a mere .400 SLG in the PCL.

    His 2008 OPS was .813 (only .723 in the tougher International League)

    His 2007 OPS was .677

    He’s a useful utility player that can draw a walk (hopefully) and add some speed. His lack of power and the fact that he’s not a true SS hurt his case for being the full-time SS. I could live with him for a half season but for a full 2011? I wouldn’t want to see it.

    • http://www.twitter.com/callumhughson Callum Hughson

      I don’t think the issue here is wanting to see him in 2011 or not. The issue is can he be a warm body at SS in exchange for the Jays adding pieces to the contending-team-of-the-future puzzle. I believe he has proven he can be.

      It is clear he is not the second coming of Honus Wagner.

    • http://www.twitter.com/callumhughson Callum Hughson

      Wallace & Emaus might be at the corners next year anyway. If the Jays aren’t going to compete anyway, might as well lose ugly and get a top 5 draft pick for the first time since, I don’t know, the early 80′s?