Random Roy Halladay to Philly Thoughts
Before we get going you might want to check out the fresh ESPN video from 11am this morning:
Quote for Insider
If the Jays know they won’t be able to re-sign Halladay after the 2010 season — and the guess here is that Halladay already has indicated to the Jays, respectfully and without any demands, that he won’t stick around if the team won’t spend money — they should swallow hard and make the best deal they can right now. Most likely, that will be with the Phillies.
At this point it appears (if one is to trust rumors) that the Jays may only be able to obtain one or two from the following group: Kyle Drabek, Michael Taylor or Dominic Brown. Even a suspect middle of the rotation starter such as AJ Happ’s name has been thrown about. From my perspective Happ doesn’t interest me in the least (we have enough middle of the rotation lefties as it is).
What are we really taking about here. If the market is tightening how many of the ‘big three’ will the Jays be able to obtain for Doc?
All three have played themselves into this seasons Top 100 prospect list. Two are outfielders. Do we really need another outfielder? (based on the assumption that Lind, Wells and Rios are staying put) Ok, maybe we could use one more bat but both Taylor and Brown would be overkill. Still, this is a nice list. Yet reports say that we may get only one of these prospects, plus some lower-tier players
If the Jays do nothing and end up losing Doc in 2010, he will surely be a Type A free agent. If the team that ends up signing Doc in the 2010 off-season is in the top half of the league standings (which is almost a lock for the Phillies, Mets, Yankees, Red Sox of the world) the Jays will receive that respective teams first round pick and a supplemental first-rounder.
Back in 2007 the Jays drafted Arencibia in the first round (21st) and Cecil in the supplemental portion. Is losing Doc for a year and a half really worth an extra prospect vs what could be obtained in the draft? Are we even a lock to get two of the above three Phillie farm hands? If not trading a year and a half of Doc (which is worth about 7 wins per season above an average pitcher) just isn’t worth it.